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Table 3 Government Transfer Payments, Public Services and Poverty Status

From: Escaping from poverty trap: a choice between government transfer payments and public services

Variables

Model I: Poverty = poverty_1

Model II: Poverty = poverty_25%

H_income

GTP

PTP

Poverty

H_income

GTP

PTP

Poverty

Panel A

H_ income

0.1011c (17.36)

0.0267c (3.06)

−0.004c (−12.84)

0.1013c (17.39)

0.0223c (2.56)

−0.0012c (−3.75)

GTP

0.771c (8.24)

0.013c (5.03)

0.774c (8.17)

0.0085c (3.68)

PTP

−0.033c (−12.77)

−0.026c (−10.93)

Job

1996.32c (15.32)

−497.10c (−16.71)

212.35c (4.77)

−0.0653c (−4.21)

1989.56c (15.27)

−497.46c (−16.72)

225.62c (5.06)

−0.016 (−1.13)

Gender

72.21 (0.6)

−103.35c (−3.68)

−36.04 (−1.20)

0.0172 (1.63)

76.055 (0.63)

−103.50c (−3.68)

−36.9 (−1.23)

0.00014 (0.01)

Minority

206.68 (0.78)

−6.14 (−0.10)

−46.84 (−0.73)

0.00471 (0.21)

205.31 (0.77)

−4.6096 (−0.07)

−48.34 (−0.76)

0.0065 (0.32)

Urban

510.35c (4.59)

−265.44c (−8.42)

136.15c (3.99)

−0.0347c (−2.81)

524.87c (4.72)

−264.85c (−8.43)

131.35c (3.83)

−0.0106 (−0.94)

Political

−1368.42c (−5.74)

86.214 (1.59)

89.09 (1.56)

−0.0870c (−4.18)

−1361.34c (−5.71)

86.1386 (1.59)

84.22 (1.47)

−0.0472b (−2.49)

Migrant

−147.84 (−0.50)

63.961 (0.93)

238.21c (3.36)

0.0301 (1.16)

−147.02 (−0.50)

64.102 (0.93)

237.72c (3.35)

0.0266 (1.13)

Age

95.84c (4.81)

−15.55c (−3.33)

5.2356 (1.08)

−0.002 (−1.19)

95.01c (4.77)

−15.61c (−3.34)

5.845 (1.20)

−0.0048c (−3.16)

Age2

−0.7232c (−3.82)

0.1366c (3.07)

−0.0564 (−1.22)

0.000016 (1.00)

−0.7203c (−3.80)

0.1372c (3.09)

−0.0598 (−1.29)

0.00005c (3.15)

Secondjob

1124.22c (8.30)

−141.04c (−4.42)

−47.939 (−1.41)

−0.0759c (−6.22)

1119.93c (8.27)

−141.22c (−4.42)

−39.02 (−1.15)

−0.1011c (−9.11)

Private

508.46c (2.87)

 

5.8603 (0.17)

 

517.74c (2.93)

 

42.542 (1.28)

 

Agriculture

−2008.66c (−13.45)

 

202.81c (5.67)

 

−1952.17c (−13.10)

 

144.01c (4.12)

 

State

−410.03c (−3.35)

 

419.54c (15.31)

 

−431.75c (−3.53)

 

435.43c (16.01)

 

Secondedu

1261.13c (12.59)

   

1189.21c (11.38)

   

Highedu

4099.95c (17.96)

   

4159.75c (18.15)

   

Insurance

1023.84c (10.13)

  

−0.0313c (−3.83)

1038.62c (10.27)

  

−0.0560c (−7.70)

Water

266.70c (2.72)

  

−0.0298c (−3.43)

266.22b (2.71)

  

−0.0324c (−4.14)

Toilet

1256.73c (11.68)

  

−0.0214b (−2.14)

1262.19c (11.71)

  

−0.0256c (−2.76)

Hygiene

327.59c (3.06)

  

−0.0381c (−4.59)

330.90c (3.09)

  

−0.0476c (−6.46)

Fiveg

 

59.07 (0.33)

   

−17.72 (−0.10)

  

Single

 

−103.75c (−3.75)

   

−105.19c (−3.85)

  

Car

  

243.79c (4.23)

   

185.48c (3.16)

 

Air conditioner

  

155.28c (2.74)

   

167.42c (2.90)

 

_cons

−2440.31c (−3.94)

544.77c (3.83)

35.736 (0.23)

1.0960c (20.72)

−2408.40c (−3.88)

546.61c (3.84)

18.167 (0.12)

0.7383c (15.37)

Year

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

County

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Yes

Chi2()

7592.34c

3541.3c

3335.4c

2259.52c

7580.97c

3543.9c

3315.7c

1495.09c

obs

30628

30628

30628

30628

30628

30628

30628

30628

Panel B

Mechanisms

Crowd-out Effect

−0.3875c (−4.70)

−0.8739c (−14.19)

Inductive Effect

−2.705c (−43.39)

−4.244c (−27.61)

  1. Notes: To identify the mechanism, we introduce the interactive term between the poverty status and GTPs into PTP determination specification. And we also introduce he interactive term between the poverty status and GTPs into household-income determination specification. We only demonstrate results of the interactive term in Panel B. Other variables are not reported. Z values are reported in parentheses. aSignificantly at 10% level. bSignificantly at 5% level. cSignificantly at 1% level