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Table 1 Summarized estimation of epidemic situation in Wuhan, Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou

From: Modeling the trend of coronavirus disease 2019 and restoration of operational capability of metropolitan medical service in China: a machine learning and mathematical model-based analysis

 

Wuhan

Shanghai

Beijing

Guangzhou

The estimated end time of the epidemic

April 20th–30th

March 16th–30th

March 16th–30th

March 16th–30th

The estimated inflection point of the epidemic

March 12th–19th

March 2rd-9th

March 2rd-9th

March 2rd-9th

The estimated number of cumulative confirmed cases

55,000

360

460

380

The estimated number of patients with unmet medical service (hospitalization) during the epidemic (95%CI)

\

23,279 (17,967-27,504)

25,264 (22,151-28,364)

10,256 (8808-11,364)